COMMENT #1: Hello Marty,
I all the time like while you level to cycles in fields aside from economics as nicely.
It has been simply over 31.4 years for the reason that Detroit Lions gained a playoff recreation. Previous to that, it had been about 34 years (8.6×4) since they gained a playoff recreation, the 1957 season championship (not together with the three straight Playoff Bowl video games that they gained which have been simply to find out third place for the ’60-’62 seasons).
After all, taking the moneyline at -165 isn’t tremendous engaging from a buying and selling/danger administration standpoint, however I believe I’ll nonetheless must throw a couple of bucks at it. It’s simply time.
MR
COMMENT #2: Pricey Good Sir – I believed perhaps you would possibly discover this fascinating (and slightly little bit of a extra lighthearted distraction). I actually seen solely final night time that:
October 8, 1956 – Don Larsen throws an ideal recreation with Yogi Berra catching
July 18, 1999 – After a 14-year feud with George Steinbrenner as a result of he fired Yogi Berra unceremoniously as supervisor early within the 1985 season, Yogi Berra lastly returns from his self-imposed exile to Yankee Stadium, … and David Cone pitches an ideal recreation on the exact same day.
Actually, 43 years aside! Completely, thoughts blowing ….
COMMENT #3: I do know you forecast the Triple Crown simply off the cuff, and your calls on the Tremendous Bowl are wonderful. Is something exhibiting up for this yr?
REPLY: I don’t suppose individuals notice that something that may be decreased to a time sequence might be cyclically and technically analyzed. Sports activities is admittedly no totally different than politics. If you happen to look carefully, you’ll be able to see that attendance rises and falls with the enterprise cycle, which is solely comprehensible. These charts are merely trying on the variety of factors scored in every recreation. You may see that the NFL had scored over 53 factors as its report excessive in comparison with 38 for the AFL. Nevertheless, the AFL has a double prime, suggesting that they’re as a result of make new highs when it comes to factors scored.
Listed here are the arrays for the AFL & NFL. What I discovered very curious is that 2027 is a significant goal. Mote that within the NFL, there’s a Panic Cycle for subsequent yr. With a Panic Cycle in 2025 for the NFL and a Double Directional Change in 2026 for the AFL, even that is suggesting that conflict is on the horizon.
Sports activities have correlated with the economic system and conflict for hundreds of years. Take a look at the NY Baseball attendance. It peaked in 1920, simply on the finish of World Conflict I. It then declined going into the Nice Despair and eventually bottomed in 1935 however stagnated by way of World Conflict II. Then, as World Conflict II ended, we noticed a spike upward once more, peaking in 1947. Thereafter, the monetary disaster started with the devaluation of the British Pound in 1949 and the recession. Attendance declined for 25 years, bottoming in 1972. That was adopted by a 36-year rally, reaching a excessive in 2008. The correlation between the economic system and conflict is slightly unimaginable.
In historic Rome, chariot racing was just like the Tremendous Bowl. Even slaves may turn out to be extraordinarily wealthy. Flavius Scorpus (Scorpius) (68–95 AD) was one of the vital well-known charioteers in Rome through the finish of the first century AD. Scorpius rode for the Inexperienced faction towards the Blue faction. He was the favourite of Roman Emperor Domitian (81-96AD).
Throughout Scorpius’ brief lifetime, he collected 2,048 victories. He grew to become the Michael Jordan of the day, changing into maybe essentially the most well-known charioteer in Roman historical past. He earned actually huge sums of wealth as a slave, surpassing that of even his house owners {and professional} Roman sponsors. Scorpius, nevertheless, died on the younger age of simply 27 years. The followers threw him cash upon a victory, and he finally purchased his freedom.
Right here is an especially uncommon bronze token (tessera) depicting a chariot driver in a biga – two horses. They have been quicker, however the four-horse chariot was way more difficult to maintain your horses in line. That is what made Scorpius so well-known, rising to the extent of a celebrity.
Right here is among the rarest Roman cash depicting the Circus Maximus of Trajan (98-117AD). Scorpius was succeeded by Gaius Appuleius Diocles (104 – after 146 AD), who grew to become a subsequent celebrity within the Circus Maximus. This Roman charioteer some have argued that he grew to become the highest-paid athlete of all time.
Chariot racing was maybe the traditional model of NASCAR. There have been beautiful crashes and even pileups typically. Right here we have now the Circus Maximus once more depicted on a Roman bronze sestertius of Emperor Caracalla (198-217AD). The Flaminio Obelisk is among the 13 historic obelisks in Rome. It was taken to Rome in 10 BC, about 20 years after the defeat of Mark Antony and Cleopatra. That is the Obelisk of pharaoh Seti I, and Augustus erected it within the Circus Maximus, which is depicted on these cash.
Some day, maybe 1,000 years from now, they are going to look again at our society and its fascination with the Superbowl and Socar. There isn’t any doubt that the Romans knew nicely that when you gave the individuals bread and circuses, the politicians may do as they preferred.
It has usually been remarked that when Rome fell, its residents have been nonetheless laughing and attending all the varied video games to maintain them distracted. After all, that’s an exaggeration. Nonetheless, ultimately, the one nice metropolis that had taken practically the whole world was itself taken by the onslaught of the barbarians, which, like Biden at the moment, the emperor Valens (364-378AD) opened the border and allow them to in. As you will notice with Biden, because the Neocons are getting ready to wage conflict on so many fronts, they are going to push them into navy service. So many got here to Rome that there was a meals scarcity and big hunger. The native Roman navy commanders, Lupicinus and Maximus, withheld provides the emperor had earmarked for the barbarians and bought them at massively inflated costs. The historian Ammianus tells us that the state of affairs grew to become so determined that even the households of barbarian chieftains bought their sons into slavery for canine meat.
The Romans seemed down upon the migrants from the north as uncivilized and irrational. The Roman commanders felt justified of their discrimination and prejudice towards the barbarians from a protracted line of historic prejudice. So, historical past will repeat as a result of human nature by no means modifications.
